Melbourne cup, Monckton denier, Bein Hanoun

Melbourne cup 2006
bet On Yeats, or place your bets on Rough beast, but avoid Lion body, with its slow thighs, boxed in by Indignant desert birds.
The favourites lack all conviction, the outsiders will break too soon, with passionate intensity
Ceremony of innocence is stuck in the centre, which cannot hold
Vast image out of Spiritus Mundi looks good for a place.
Darkness drops back again,

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7Nov06 Monckton in the UK Telegraph is a global warming denier. Or maybe we are warming, but its the sun doing it. In which case we'd better cut carbon anyway. He says the Chinese sailed to the North pole in 1421 and saw no ice . Which I guess comes from the least likely of Menzies' maybes.
He also says "A recent paper by John Lyman, of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association, reports that the oceans have cooled sharply in the past two years."
Amazingly this refers to a real result..

"We observe a net loss of 3.2 (± 1.1) × 10^22 J of heat from the upper ocean between 2003 and 2005"

However Lyman also says

Past estimates of the global integral of ocean heat content anomaly
(OHCA) indicate an increase of 14.5 × 10^22 J from 1955 to 1998 from the surface to 3000m [Levitus et al., 2005] and 9.2 (± 1.3) × 10^22 J from 1993 to 2003 in the upper (0 – 750 m) ocean [Willis et al. 2004]. These increases provide strong evidence of global warming. Climate models exhibit similar rates of ocean warming, but only when forced by anthropogenic influences

Current models cant explain these episodes of upper ocean cooling. I expect that warming-deniers will prevail. Stern's report has Northern Europe,Russia & Canada actually benefiting from the first 1.5°. Food exporters USA and Australia suffer, but can afford it. Africa is bad all the way, but really, nobody cares. The Asian monsoon is currently un-modelable, if that flicks, billions will die, thats billions more than those dependent on glacier fed rivers.
nasa
Lyman pdf

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ITM rubbished

IraqTheModel psy-op blog rubbished by Iraqi bloggers.
I always thought ITM was a psy-op, but they deleted my comments

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signs-of-the-times

"Bein Hanoun, with 30,000 inhabitants, has been the target of daily aggressions and air strikes since June 25. It is now besieged by Israeli troops. We have seen the tanks advance and take up their positions. We are now encircled by about 70 tanks and at least 450 soldiers who announce that the city is a "closed military zone". That means that no one can leave. No one can flee. It is an offensive based on those carried out in the West Bank in 2002.

We have no water, no electricity. We hide in the remote corners of our houses. Ambulances are not authorized to enter into this occupied and closed zone. The soldiers have circled the houses they want to invade. They occupied the houses and they shut up the families in one room. Now they are using then as forts. They use explosives to pierce holes in the walls, they blow off doors, and the people are terrified. They shoot anyone that moves.

Melbourne cup, Monckton denier, Bein Hanoun